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  1. Theory of Interest Rate Parity

This theory states that premium or discount of one currency against another should reflect the interest differential between the two currencies

The currency of the country with a lower interest should be at a forward premium in terms of the currency of the country with a higher rate

In an efficient market with no transaction costs, the interest differential should be ( approximately) equal to the forward differential

When this condition is met, the forward rate is said to be at interest rate parity and equilibrium prevails in the money markets

Thus, the forward discount or premium is closely related to interest differential between the two currencies

Looked at differently, interest rate parity says that the spot price and the forward, or futures price, of a currency incorporate any interest rate differentials between the two currencies assuming there are no transaction costs or taxes

25. Coveredinterestrateparity

Interest parity ensures that the return on a hedged ( or ‘covered’) foreign investment will just equal the domestic interest rate on investments of identical risk

Which means the covered interest differential – the difference between the domestic interest rate and the hedged foreign rate- is zero

    • Investment of $ 10,00,000 for 90 days

    • New York ( Dollar) Interest Rate : 8% p.a.

    • Frankfurt ( Euro) Interest Rate : 6% p.a.

    • Investment in dollar will yield : $ 10,20,000

26. The Balance of Payment Theory

The balance of payments approach is another method that explains what the factors are that determine the supply and demand curves of a country’s currency.

As it is known from macroeconomics, the balance of payments is a method of recording all the international monetary transactions of a country during a specific period of time.

The transactions recorded are divided into four categories: the current account transactions, the capital account transactions, financial account and the central bank transaction.

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