- •Introduction
- •Basic concepts of probability theory
- •Classical definition of probability
- •Relative frequency
- •Geometric probabilities
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 1
- •Exercises for Homework 1
- •Basic formulas of combinatorial analysis
- •Operations over events
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 2
- •Exercises for Homework 2
- •Theorem of addition of probabilities of incompatible events
- •Complete group of events
- •Opposite events
- •Conditional probability
- •Theorem of multiplication of probabilities
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 3
- •Exercises for Homework 3
- •Independent events
- •Where a is the appearance of at least one of the events a1, a2, …, An; .
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 4
- •Exercises for Homework 4
- •Theorem of addition of probabilities of compatible events
- •Formula of total probability
- •Probability of hypotheses. Bayes’s formulas.
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 5
- •Exercises for Homework 5
- •Repetition (recurrence) of trials. The Bernoulli formula
- •Local theorem of Laplace
- •Integral theorem of Laplace
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 6
- •Exercises for Homework 6
- •Random variables. The law of distribution of a discrete random variable
- •A random variable is understood as a variable which as result of a trial takes one of the possible set of its values (which namely – it is not beforehand known).
- •Mathematical operations over random variables
- •(Mathematical) expectation of a discrete random variable
- •Dispersion of a discrete random variable
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 7
- •Exercises for Homework 7
- •Distribution function of a random variable
- •Properties of a distribution function
- •Continuous random variables. Probability density
- •Properties of probability density
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 8
- •Exercises for Homework 8
- •Basic laws of distribution of discrete random variables
- •1. Binomial law of distribution
- •2. The law of distribution of Poisson
- •3. Geometric distribution
- •4. Hypergeometric distribution
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 9
- •Exercises for Homework 9
- •Basic laws of distribution of continuous random variables
- •1. The uniform law of distribution
- •2. Exponential law of distribution
- •3. Normal law of distribution
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 10
- •Exercises for Homework 10
- •The law of large numbers and limit theorems
- •The central limit theorem
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 11
- •Exercises for Homework 11
- •Mathematical statistics. Variation series and their characteristics
- •Numerical characteristics of variation series
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 12
- •Exercises for Homework 12
- •Bases of the mathematical theory of sampling
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 13
- •Exercises for Homework 13
- •Methods of finding of estimations
- •Notion of interval estimation
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 14
- •Exercises for Homework 14
- •Testing of statistical hypotheses
- •Glossary
- •Exercises for Seminar 15
- •Exercises for Homework 15
- •Individual homeworks
- •Variant 1
- •Variant 2
- •Variant 3
- •Variant 4
- •Variant 5
- •Variant 6
- •Variant 7
- •Variant 8
- •Variant 9
- •Variant 10
- •Variant 11
- •Variant 12
- •Variant 13
- •Variant 14
- •Variant 15
- •Variant 16
- •Variant 17
- •Variant 18
- •Variant 19
- •Variant 20
- •Variant 21
- •Variant 22
- •Variant 23
- •Variant 24
- •Variant 25
- •Final exam trial tests (for self-checking)
- •Appendix
- •Values the functions and
- •List of the used books
- •Contents
Variant 25
1. There are 6 green and 9 yellow balls in the first urn, and 9 green and 6 yellow balls in the second urn. One ball is randomly taken out from each urn. Find the probability that at least one of them is green.
2. A warehouse has received two equal batches of footwear in identical packing boxes. It is known that 50 % of footwear in the first batch and 80 % of footwear in the second batch have a black color. What is the probability that a randomly taken pair of footwear in the warehouse will have a black color?
3. An automatic device is making plastic hangers. The probability that no non-standard hanger will be made for one hour is equal to 0,8. Find the probability that all hangers made for four hours will be standard (hanger – вешалка).
4. Two independent random variables X and Y are given by the following tables of distribution:
X |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
Y |
– 3 |
– 2 |
– 1 |
P |
0,7 |
0,2 |
0,1 |
|
P |
0,3 |
0,5 |
0,2 |
Compose the law of distribution of the random variable Z = X + Y and check the property: M(X + Y) = M(X) + M(Y).
5.
A random variable
X
is given by the probability density of distribution
in the interval
,
and f
(x) =
0 outside of the interval. Find the dispersion of the random variable
X.
6. Let the lifetime of a radio tube of a given batch be a normally distributed random variable X with mathematical expectation a = 800 hours and mean square deviation = 30 hours. Determine the probability that the lifetime X of a randomly chosen tube from the batch: a) is in limits from = 830 hours up to = 950 hours; b) deviates from the mathematical expectation no more than on 20 hours by absolute value.
7. The discrete random variable X is given by the law of distribution:
-
X
2
3
4
P
0,3
0,4
0,3
By using the Chebyshev’s inequality estimate the probability that the random variable will deviate from the mathematical expectation no more than on 2,5 by absolute value.
8. The following data on strength of a steel wire of a given batch have been received after testing 100 samples:
453 |
407 |
438 |
435 |
426 |
438 |
402 |
434 |
474 |
485 |
468 |
487 |
457 |
469 |
428 |
455 |
436 |
449 |
425 |
436 |
468 |
459 |
436 |
482 |
416 |
466 |
441 |
452 |
454 |
453 |
474 |
477 |
413 |
459 |
453 |
443 |
446 |
461 |
465 |
455 |
471 |
432 |
448 |
466 |
459 |
439 |
449 |
451 |
431 |
468 |
413 |
417 |
452 |
495 |
492 |
451 |
465 |
446 |
475 |
473 |
442 |
452 |
449 |
479 |
448 |
498 |
449 |
432 |
463 |
455 |
462 |
455 |
462 |
443 |
465 |
445 |
478 |
442 |
422 |
443 |
469 |
445 |
446 |
455 |
445 |
463 |
451 |
468 |
479 |
463 |
452 |
469 |
457 |
454 |
468 |
452 |
477 |
469 |
453 |
457 |
1) Compose the interval and the discrete variation series taking the beginning of the first interval equal 400, and the width of each interval equal 10.
2) Construct the histogram and the polygon of relative frequencies of distribution.
3) Find the mode and the median (using the discrete series).
4) Find empirical functions of distribution of continuous and discrete variation series; and construct their graphs.
